Probability of a catastrophic malware attack rises
from 2.5% to 30%
London, UK - 2 June 2004, 11:30 GMT - May was the fifth worst month
on record in terms of malware proliferation - virus, worm and trojan attacks
- and is estimated to have caused between $16.2bn and $19.8bn of economic
damage worldwide, largely because of the Sasser outbreak and other associated
variants according to the mi2g Intelligence Unit, the world leader
in digital risk. The probability of a catastrophic malware attack, defined
as global damages in excess of $100bn from a chain of combined events, has
risen from 1 in 40 (2.5%) for 2003 to about 3 in 10 (30%) for 2004.
The May figures for manual and semi-automated hacking attacks - 18,847 - against
online servers worldwide show signs of stabilisation in comparison to each
of the three previous months. At present rates, the projected number of overt
digital attacks carried out by hackers against online servers in 2004 will
be only 2% up on the previous year and would stand at around 220,000. If this
trend continues, it will mark the slowest growth rate for manual and semi-automated
hacking attacks against online servers according to records that date back
to 1995. This confirms that the dominant threat to the global digital eco-system
is coming from malware as opposed to direct hacking attacks.
Full details of the May 2004 report are available as of 1st June 2004 and
can be ordered from here.
(To view contents sample please click here).
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