The Second Burma Black Swan -- Nargis

A Wake up Call for The World?

London, UK - 7th May 2008, 18:33 GMT

Dear ATCA Colleagues

[Please note that the views presented by individual contributors are not necessarily representative of the views of ATCA, which is neutral. ATCA conducts collective Socratic dialogue on global opportunities and threats.]

The second grotesque tragedy unfolding in Burma in less than a year post the political turmoil -- with 60,000+ dead and millions left homeless post cyclone Nargis -- is just one of the many examples of what we are witnessing in the fast changing global landscape. It is this changing landscape that has brought humankind face to face with a gruelling set of fast moving survival challenges. Natural catastrophes amplify food crises as witnessed by the rising price of rice in the aftermath of Nargis. Over the past several years, the global community has witnessed a significant increase in the severity and propensity of large scale natural disasters. This has resulted in a phenomenal change in perceptions about global risk management when undertaking horizon scanning over the coming decades.

[CONTINUES] [ATCA Membership]


The ATCA briefing was written jointly by the mi2g Intelligence Unit; the ATCA Research and Analysis Wing (RAW) based in Canary Wharf, London; Dr Jayshree Pandya, Chief Executive, Risk Group, based in Houston, Texas; and Dr Harald Malmgren, Chief Executive, Malmgren Global, based in Washington, DC.

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We welcome your thoughts, observations and views. Thank you.

Best wishes

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