Why's China-Crisis Going Global? $200 Trillion Debt-Fuelled Ring of Fire With Multiple Fault Lines
London, UK - 26th August 2015, 14:00 GMT
1. “There are two ways to conquer and enslave a country. One is by the sword. The other is by debt,” recorded John Adams, the second president of the United States.
2. McKinsey Institute found earlier in 2015 that global debt is $199 trillion and getting more and more unsustainable. Since then global debt has continued to increase and will be significantly north of $200 trillion at this stage.
$200 Trillion Debt-Fuelled Ring of Fire With Multiple Fault Lines
3. This extremely high level of global debt poses new risks to financial stability and may undermine global economic growth not just in China but also in developed countries and emerging markets.
4. Putting it another way, if the global population is 7.3 billion, total global debt is $27,204 for every person living today. How manageable is that?
5. What is even more disconcerting is that this debt report ignored US unfunded liabilities of over $100 trillion.
6. Not just the US, but all major economies have “higher levels of borrowing relative to GDP” than in 2007. However, in China the government, household and total debt has increased a staggering four-fold since 2007. This is part of the reason why China is the most vulnerable to slowing economic growth, which exacerbates the capability to service debt.
7. Almost 29% of that debt – $57 trillion – has been accumulated in the relative short period since the financial crisis erupted in 2007 – just 8 years.
8. What are the risk areas caused by these bloated, unsustainable levels of debt that have been accumulated globally and the consequences when interest rates either begin to rise or are forced to rise again?
9. What is the major cause of extremely risky, unprecedented debt levels? Quantitative Easing (QE) in trillions and ultra loose monetary policies whose dangerous consequences remain unacknowledged.
10. What is the core risk associated with a new global financial crisis? Currency wars and devaluations; uncertainty; high volatility; loss of confidence; massive deflation that destroys consumption, investment and capability to service debt; bank bail-ins as opposed to bail-outs; and wealth taxes.
What the China crisis is doing is exposing the problem of unmanageable debt and once that fault line is exposed other global fault lines including those of the US and European high levels of debt will also get exposed causing a potential sharp descent into another global financial crisis. On this occasion, the central bankers will have few levers left to fight deflation and to deal with the inability of individuals, corporations and governments to service debt as growth slows down significantly.
Read the full briefing here: http://ow.ly/RohH0
Source: QiLabs.net 1. Funding Form 2. Involvement Form 3. iQ:Ei Club
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D K Matai
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